Friday, January 23, 2026

Next Mauna Loa eruption could be forecast months in advance

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Next Mauna Loa eruption could be forecast months in advance

The eruption of Mauna Loa in December 2022

T. Orr, U.S. Geological Survey

It may be possible to forecast the next eruption of Hawai’i’s Mauna Loa – the world’s largest active volcano – more than two months in advance thanks to a new understanding of what triggers its eruptions.

“Hawai’i is often seen as this place in volcanology where it’s so well-studied we must know everything about it, but in the 2020s there are still things yet to be discovered,” says Kendra Lynn at the US Geological Survey’s Hawaiian Volcano Observatory.

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